Data Suggests XRP Poised for Major Breakout Above $1.40 Price Level
Binance transaction patterns for XRP are displaying characteristics similar to a 2025 indicator that came before the cryptocurrency's surge to record highs. Is history about to repeat itself?
Over the last 20 days, XRP (XRP) has been trading sideways in a narrow price corridor beneath the $1.40 threshold, yet emerging data indicates the cryptocurrency could be preparing for a bullish surge following changes in Binance transaction patterns that point to decreasing selling pressure.
The withdrawal and deposit patterns on Binance are displaying a configuration reminiscent of June 2025, a period during which the digital asset launched into a significant rally that reached $3.65.
XRP Binance deposits drop to 2025 lows
According to crypto analyst Amr Taha, there has been a notable change in how XRP is moving on Binance, with transaction patterns shifting away from deposit-dominated trends. Based on the seven-day moving average, XRP withdrawals have increased to 53% of total activity while deposits have declined to 46%, matching levels not observed since June 2025.
During that earlier configuration, XRP experienced a powerful 65% price surge to reach all-time highs of $3.65 in July 2025, making the current pattern shift particularly noteworthy for market participants.
The declining deposit levels suggest that fewer tokens are being transferred to exchanges, whereas increasing withdrawal numbers demonstrate that holdings are being moved off exchanges. When this pattern persists across several trading cycles, it effectively diminishes immediate selling pressure.
At present, the flow of XRP on Binance is no longer characterized by overwhelming incoming token supply. This development suggests a transformation in how traders are positioning themselves, with a smaller number of market participants getting ready to liquidate their holdings.
At the same time, available liquidity has experienced a dramatic reduction. According to CryptoQuant analytics, XRP's 30-day liquidity index on Binance has fallen to 0.053, representing the lowest reading recorded since 2021. Trading volume over the past 30 days totals approximately 3.77 billion XRP, establishing one of the most subdued activity periods seen in recent memory.
Current price behavior is in line with this decreased activity. Trading around $1.38 with minimal fluctuation throughout the previous three weeks, XRP's movement reflects a less active order book and diminished trader engagement. Such periods of reduced liquidity often have the potential to concentrate momentum and set the stage for a more pronounced directional shift when market activity picks up again.
XRP traders position in futures markets
As XRP price remains range-bound, blockchain analytics reveal an aggregated spot cumulative volume delta (CVD) measuring -$153 million alongside a futures CVD approaching -$295 million, both indicating a decrease in forceful selling activity.
Buying activity has not shown significant expansion, which has resulted in subdued price movement. Funding rates have shifted to marginally positive territory at 0.06%, indicating a moderate bias toward long positions.
Open interest has risen to approximately $769 million, an indication that new trading positions are being established in the market.
Looking at the technical picture, a daily closing price exceeding $1.40 would create a pathway toward the $1.60–$1.67 range. The $1.40 threshold also corresponds with the 50-day moving average, which could transition into a support level should a bullish breakout materialize.
Liquidation analytics indicate approximately $250–$300 million worth of combined long and short positions are vulnerable to forced closure within a 10% price movement in either direction. When compared to major cryptocurrencies such as BTC (BTC) and Ether (ETH), this liquidity level is comparatively modest, pointing to reduced trader involvement around the $1.40 price point.