Robert Kiyosaki Forecasts BTC at $750K Following Traditional Finance Market Collapse

Robert Kiyosaki Forecasts BTC at $750K Following Traditional Finance Market Collapse

A potential surge to $750,000 for Bitcoin may be on the horizon, according to Robert Kiyosaki, though only after global financial markets experience a major downturn. The personal finance expert breaks down his reasoning.

Key takeaways:

  • The $750,000 Bitcoin projection from Robert Kiyosaki represents a 95% discount when measured against gold, marking a lower ratio than the 2024 high point.
  • A Bitcoin price of $750,000 could prove less meaningful if the costs of everyday necessities, real estate and utilities increase proportionately.

The author behind the best-selling "Rich Dad Poor Dad" book series, Robert Kiyosaki, announced via social media on Monday that traditional finance faces an enormous "bubble burst" in the near future. According to the personal finance expert, this unparalleled economic catastrophe will subsequently trigger a Bitcoin (BTC) price surge to $750,000 within twelve months following the market collapse.

Although Kiyosaki's projection appears extraordinarily optimistic on the surface, examining the details more closely reveals additional layers of meaning behind his price forecast.

Robert Kiyosaki social media post
Source: X/theRealKiyosaki

Any credible prediction requires a specific timeframe for context, whether that extends across the next 12 months or beyond. Should Bitcoin's value ultimately climb to $750,000, the true measure of achievement will primarily hinge on median home prices across the United States or what it costs an average family to live annually.

Rapid expansion within the worldwide money supply, similar to what occurred from 2020 through 2021, often sparks increased appetite for limited-supply assets, irrespective of official inflation data published by governments. As an example, the S&P 500 climbed 52% during the period from July 2020 through December 2021, whereas median housing prices across prominent American metropolitan areas jumped 38% over those two years.

Global broad money supply vs S&P 500
Global broad money supply (left) vs. S&P 500 (right). Source: streetstats.finance

According to Kiyosaki's outlook, gold will climb to $35,000 per ounce within twelve months after the traditional finance "bubble burst," representing a 546% increase from its all-time highest daily closing price. By comparison, the ambitious $750,000 Bitcoin target represents 500% growth above its $124,724 record daily closing price.

Kiyosaki predicts gold will subjugate Bitcoin as a store of value

The gold target outlined by Kiyosaki translates to a market capitalization of $243.2 trillion, representing a value 4.4 times greater than the present combined market capitalization of every company in the S&P 500.

Bitcoin-to-gold ratio chart
Bitcoin-to-gold ratio. Source: TradingView / Cointelegraph

According to Kiyosaki's analysis, the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio will drop to 21.5, significantly under the all-time peak of 40 recorded in December 2024. Even more troubling, the 200-day moving average for this ratio currently sits at 22, which means Kiyosaki's projection is hardly optimistic for digital currency. Furthermore, gold production volumes would likely increase substantially should prices reach such elevated levels.

According to US News, Kiyosaki has purportedly been forecasting major economic collapses since no later than 2011 with limited accuracy. In a post from September 2015, Kiyosaki stated, "I've been predicting since '02 that we would see a stock market crash in '16," yet the S&P 500 instead posted gains of 9.5% during that year. Attempting to forecast market movements over a decade ahead appears quite unconventional.

During May 2024, Kiyosaki published that history's largest crash had commenced, urging his followers to "not get greedy" and stay away from "falling knives." This recommendation arrived five months following an earlier alert regarding a bank credit liquidation resembling the 2008 crisis. More than 20 months have since passed without anything comparable materializing.

Gold, S&P 500, Silver performance in 2024
Gold (orange), S&P 500 (blue), Silver (green) in 2024. Source: TradingView

During May 2024, Kiyosaki advised accumulating wealth in gold and silver, though Bitcoin received mention as well. Nevertheless, the S&P 500 surged 16% during the subsequent 8 months, whereas gold increased 15% and silver climbed 11%. In the end, Kiyosaki possesses a less-than-impressive track record and demonstrates a bias toward anticipating market crashes.

Should Bitcoin reach $750,000, that doesn't necessarily mean the digital asset will rank among the top-5 assets measured by market capitalization, particularly since Kiyosaki forecasts silver will exceed $11 trillion following the anticipated "bubble burst." In the final analysis, this audacious forecast proves far less bullish for Bitcoin holders than Kiyosaki's elevated price target might initially suggest.