BTC remains 'stuck' near $78K while oil prices pose renewed threat to risk assets

BTC remains 'stuck' near $78K while oil prices pose renewed threat to risk assets

Bitcoin's journey toward $80,000 hits a roadblock as uncertainties loom over risk-asset recovery amid ongoing US-Iran tensions.

Bitcoin (BTC) remained firmly anchored near $78,000 on Friday as markets continued "awaiting clarity" from the ongoing US-Iran conflict.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin's attempt to reclaim $80,000 faces headwinds, with US equities trading flat.
  • Robust earnings reports will be necessary to maintain momentum in stock markets, according to analysis.
  • Support levels for BTC price could be vulnerable to breakdown in the near term.

Bitcoin participates in risk assets "chopping sideways"

Information from TradingView showed BTC price action remaining relatively unchanged heading into the final Wall Street session of the week.

BTC/USD one-hour chart
BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In the absence of new geopolitical developments, risk-asset drivers offered a contradictory outlook, resulting in lateral price action for US equities. After approaching a potential test of the $100 level, WTI crude oil retreated to $95.

WTI crude oil one-hour chart
CFDs on WTI crude oil one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

"$BTC & Stocks started the week off strong as metals have sold off. But as $OIL has been starting to move again the past few days, risk assets have stalled and are now chopping sideways," trader Daan Crypto Trades responded in a post on X.

"Market is eagerly awaiting clarity from the conflict in the middle east. The longer it drags on and oil keeps moving higher, the more pressure will be put on these."

Macro asset price comparison
Macro asset price comparison. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

One day earlier, trading resource Mosaic Asset Company indicated that strong earnings reports would prove critical to maintaining upward momentum in equity markets, with the S&P 500 having already achieved new all-time highs.

"With the first quarter reporting season about to pick up, it will be crucial to monitor forward earnings estimates for any changes in trend since the start of the year," it wrote in its latest analysis.

S&P 500 one-hour chart
S&P 500 one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Analyst "surprised" that BTC price support holding

Turning attention to BTC/USD, trading resource Material Indicators suggested early indications of a more substantial pullback ahead.

"Bid liquidity at $76.5k already rugged, as predicted yesterday, and LTF order flow is trending down," it wrote on X, referring to data from one of its proprietary trading tools.

Material Indicators added that it was "surprised" that bid liquidity below spot price had not been pulled.

BTC/USDT order-book liquidity data
BTC/USDT order-book liquidity data with whale orders. Source: Material Indicators/X

Trading account JDK Analysis pointed to a "news-driven pump" as additional confirmation that the recent low-time frame rally had extended beyond sustainable levels.

"The profile shows $BTC at the upper value extreme of the past two days," an X thread read, analyzing exchange order-book data.

BTC/USDT order-book data
BTC/USDT order-book data (Bybit). Source: JDK Analysis/X