Bitcoin volatility surge expected as bullish forecasts target $80K return by month's end

Bitcoin volatility surge expected as bullish forecasts target $80K return by month's end

Rising Bitcoin open interest levels have triggered warnings of increased BTC price swings ahead, while bullish traders focus on reclaiming the critical $70,000 threshold.

On Wednesday, Bitcoin (BTC) remained in a holding pattern as market participants assessed ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and its potential impact on price action.

Key points:

  • Market participants await a decisive move from Bitcoin's current range, with attention centered on the $70,000 price level.
  • A bullish prediction suggests BTC could revisit the lower $80,000 range before March concludes.
  • Current open interest patterns point toward increased BTC price volatility in the near term.

Bitcoin battles to establish crucial support foundation

According to data pulled from TradingView, BTC price action remained relatively unchanged throughout the day, hovering in the vicinity of $70,000.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart
BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Following unsuccessful attempts to escape its current trading range, BTC/USD appeared progressively lacking in bullish momentum as market participants remained cautious about potential downside moves.

In their most recent market update shared with X followers, trader Cryptorphic noted that "Not much has changed, price is still consolidating inside the range."

"The weekly candle closed bearish, and overall the structure still leans sideways unless we get a clear breakout or breakdown."
BTC/USDT one-day chart
BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Cryptorphic/X

Market analyst Trader Killa highlighted zones with significant liquidation clusters as probable near-term price objectives.

"If we start pushing down toward the monthly open and weekly open around $66K–$66.9K, there's a strong likelihood that the $64K liquidity pool gets swept," they explained on the day.

"If we start pushing above 72-73K, the next POI is 74-76K."
BTC liquidation heatmap
BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: Killa/X

Trader and market analyst Mark Cullen, on the other hand, identified reasons for optimism regarding upward movement if bullish forces could successfully establish $70,000 as a solid support foundation.

"70K is critical, $BTC needs to get back above and hold for another attempt at a range break out. If it can do that then high 70K's / low 80K's will be on the cards before the end of the month," he summarized.

BTC/USD four-hour chart
BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Mark Cullen/X

BTC price may see "highly volatile environment"

As previously covered by Cointelegraph, substantial resistance levels are anticipated to impede any BTC price rallies attempting to push past the $70,000 threshold.

A considerable portion of market observers continue to anticipate fresh macro lows emerging from the present rangebound trading structure, with some projections placing these potential lows at $50,000 or even lower levels.

Analyzing open interest (OI) metrics across Bitcoin futures trading venues, BorisD, a contributor at onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant, issued warnings about sustained volatility on the horizon.

"Looking at the most recent days, the 30-day Open Interest change has entered a strong recovery phase. This suggests that new positions are being added back into the market and that volatility is likely to increase over the next few weeks," he wrote in a "Quicktake" blog post on Tuesday.

"In the coming weeks, Bitcoin may face a highly volatile environment. As Open Interest continues to rise, leverage in the market also builds up. This can open the door to stronger price swings, sudden directional moves, and another round of forced liquidations."
Bitcoin futures aggregated OI 30-day % change
Bitcoin futures aggregated OI 30-day % change. Source: CryptoQuant
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