ETH Open Interest Jumps 26% During Market Upswing: Is Trader Sentiment Shifting Back to Ether?

ETH Open Interest Jumps 26% During Market Upswing: Is Trader Sentiment Shifting Back to Ether?

Major institutional players are accumulating Ether once more, though several headwinds may dampen the momentum and threaten ETH's current price recovery.

Major highlights:

  • Institutional accumulation of ETH continues to show strength with Ether ETFs and Bitmine Immersion driving a sound, spot-based market rebound.
  • Underwhelming decentralized application revenue and negative funding rates on ETH indicate trader doubt about the sustainability of this rally.

The price of Ether (ETH) successfully maintained levels above $2,300 throughout Wednesday, creating distance from the $1,940 low points witnessed on March 29. This recent upward movement has pushed ETH futures open interest to a total of $25.4 billion, signaling growing appetite for positions using leverage. This development points toward a possible shift in market dynamics favoring ETH bulls following 10 consecutive weeks of unsuccessful efforts to break back above the $2,400 threshold.

ETH futures aggregate open interest
Aggregate open interest for ETH futures, USD. Source: CoinGlass

In order to establish whether this change in market positioning stems from bullish traders, it becomes necessary to examine the funding rate for ETH futures contracts. The funding rate for ETH perpetual futures has been unable to sustain levels above 5% since Friday, revealing a shortage of conviction among market bulls.

ETH perpetual futures annualized funding rate
Annualized funding rate for ETH perpetual futures. Source: Laevitas

This particular metric has fallen into negative territory on several occasions, demonstrating excessive demand for bearish positions involving leverage. When conditions are neutral, this indicator typically fluctuates between 5% and 10% as compensation for capital costs.

Nonetheless, it could be contended that this information actually supports the notion that Ether's latest climb to $2,350 has been underpinned by demand in the spot market.

ETH spot ETF daily net flows
Daily net flows for ETH spot ETF, USD. Source: SoSoValue

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for Ether spot that are listed in the United States attracted $248 million in net inflows during the last 10 days, confirming the hypothesis of robust spot-driven bullish momentum for Ether. At the same time, digital asset treasury firm Bitmine Immersion (BMNR US) disclosed the purchase of $312 million in ETH. The company's holdings now total 4.87 million ETH, which translates to $11.46 billion.

Although institutional buying is typically viewed as a favorable indicator, Bitmine's ETH portfolio is currently valued 13% beneath their average acquisition price, based on CoinGecko data. In a similar vein, assets under management for US-listed Ether ETFs reached $13.7 billion on Wednesday, representing a decline from $20.5 billion recorded three months earlier. The inability of Ether to recapture the $2,400 level also coincided with the S&P 500 index achieving a fresh all-time high on Wednesday.

Diminished Ethereum network engagement, rising competitive pressure

A portion of the reduced investor interest in cryptocurrencies can be attributed to weakening activity within decentralized applications (DApps). Nearly every segment of the cryptocurrency sector has suffered adverse effects from the 2026 bear market, encompassing memecoin token launch platforms, synthetic derivatives trading, collateralized lending, digital collectibles, decentralized exchanges and cross chain bridges.

The limited bright spots, such as prediction markets and real-world assets, have not managed to boost Ethereum network activity. Market participants are beginning to scrutinize whether ETH is strategically positioned to benefit from a potential increase in DApp demand, considering the rise of rival blockchains dedicated to addressing particular challenges, including Hyperliquid and Plasma.

Ethereum weekly DApps revenue
Weekly revenue from Ethereum DApps, USD. Source: DefiLlama

The weekly revenue generated by Ethereum's DApps has dropped significantly to $11 million per week, compared to $24 million during early February. The main motivation for investors to accumulate ETH remains the anticipation of greater onchain processing demand and the associated burn mechanism, which provides incentives for maintaining long-term positions.

Notwithstanding the heightened demand for ETH futures contracts, derivatives market indicators have not transitioned to bullish territory. Among the possible explanations are the financial losses experienced by Ethereum strategic reserve companies and intensifying competition within the DApps sector.

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