BTC Recovers After Dropping to $76K Seven-Week Low Following Democratic Congressional Victory

BTC Recovers After Dropping to $76K Seven-Week Low Following Democratic Congressional Victory

The leading cryptocurrency hit a low of $75,618, marking its weakest level in seven weeks, while long position liquidations across crypto markets approached $300 million in a 24-hour period.

On Wednesday, Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to recover from a 3% decline that occurred overnight as cryptocurrency markets processed the results showing Democrats securing a complete victory in the midterm elections.

Key points:

  • The price of Bitcoin dropped to $75,618 following the Democratic Party's successful capture of both chambers of Congress—the House and Senate—in Tuesday's US midterm elections.
  • The BTC/USD trading pair climbed back toward resistance positioned at $78,000, even as S&P 500 futures registered a 0.3% decline on Wednesday.
  • Market analysts cautioned that Bitcoin needs to successfully hold its 50-week moving average, currently positioned at $75,733, to prevent a more significant price correction.

Midterm election results trigger Bitcoin price decline below $76,000

Trading data from TradingView revealed that BTC/USD experienced downward pressure heading into Tuesday's daily market close as electoral results were reported, with the Democratic Party ultimately securing control of both congressional chambers. The trading pair touched a bottom of $75,618 on the Bitstamp exchange, marking the lowest price point since Sept. 16, before recovering to reach as high as $78,039 during the subsequent three-hour period.

BTC/USD one-hour chart
BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

According to data provided by CoinGlass, the downward price movement triggered forced liquidations of leveraged long positions in Bitcoin that had been opened below the $76,000 threshold, while significant sell orders created a barrier preventing further upward movement beneath the $78,000 level. Across the entire cryptocurrency market, total liquidations of long positions during the preceding 24-hour timeframe reached $288 million.

BTC liquidation heatmap
BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CoinGlass

Through statements provided to Cointelegraph, Kelly Ye, who serves as head of research at Talos, an institutional digital asset trading platform, indicated that financial markets had already incorporated expectations about the election results into current pricing.

"Bitcoin moved about 1.7% after the polls closed, close to the roughly 1.8% options had priced, and there was no major leverage flush. The election was the main event, but markets had largely prepared for it,"

Kelly Ye, Talos

Futures contracts for US equities demonstrated comparable patterns, experiencing initial declines before recovering a portion of their losses. At the time this article was written, both S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures contracts showed declines of approximately 0.3%.

S&P 500 futures one-hour chart
S&P 500 futures one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

During the late hours of Tuesday evening, Anthony Saglimbene, who holds the position of chief market strategist at Ameriprise Financial, a financial services company, shared with CNBC that worries regarding data-center infrastructure and more extensive artificial intelligence capital expenditures were generating a negative market response to the Democratic electoral victories.

"If you get some governorships that are Democratic, what does that mean for the data center buildout, which has already seen a lot of skepticism over the last couple weeks in terms of the hyperscaler capex spending?"

Anthony Saglimbene, Ameriprise Financial

During a conversation with The Wall Street Journal, US President Donald Trump, who had earlier indicated he might assume the role of "Mr. Veto" in an effort to obstruct Democratic legislative proposals, adopted a more collaborative approach in his messaging.

"I think we'll work with the Democrats, and we'll get along very well with them."

Donald Trump, US President

Critical 50-week trend line for Bitcoin to prevent "deeper correction"

The decline in Bitcoin's price to $75,618 aligned precisely with its 50-week simple moving average (SMA), a technical trend line that has functioned as a support level beginning in mid-September.

Through an analytical post shared on the X platform, Keith Alan, who co-founded Material Indicators, a comprehensive crypto trading suite, designated the 50-week SMA as a critical threshold for those maintaining bullish positions on Bitcoin. He contended that an inability to maintain this support level would create conditions favorable for a "deeper correction ahead."

BTC/USD one-day chart with 50 SMA
BTC/USD one-day chart with 50 SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Rekt Capital, a cryptocurrency trader and market analyst who had previously predicted that BTC/USD would fall beneath the $76,000 level following an unsuccessful attempt to break above $78,000, maintained focus on identifying overhead resistance patterns visible on the three-day timeframe chart.

"If this continues then these newfound 3-Day Lower Highs may guide price back towards the ~$75.5k level below over time."

Rekt Capital
BTC/USD three-day chart
BTC/USD three-day chart. Source: Rekt Capital on X.com
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