Bitcoin ETF Sees $471M in Fresh Capital Yet Price Remains Trapped Below $70K

Bitcoin ETF Sees $471M in Fresh Capital Yet Price Remains Trapped Below $70K

Despite Bitcoin ETFs attracting $471 million in fresh investment, BTC remains trapped beneath $70,000 due to pressure from corporate treasuries offloading holdings, miner liquidations, and Middle Eastern conflict concerns.

Key takeaways:

  • Despite robust ETF capital inflows, BTC couldn't maintain the $70,000 threshold as public mining companies' sell-offs neutralized recent institutional purchases.
  • A significant 17% put premium in options trading indicates heightened demand for protective positions, revealing cautious market sentiment.

Bitcoin (BTC) was unable to maintain Monday's $70,000 price point despite recording $471 million in net capital flowing into US-based spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Market enthusiasm quickly dissipated after news emerged that numerous American and Israeli military aircraft and assets were eliminated during weekend military actions in Iran.

Given that the S&P 500 index showed minimal movement between Friday's close and Tuesday's session, the inability of Bitcoin to preserve its upward trajectory appears to originate from alternative market pressures.

Bitcoin US-listed spot ETFs daily net flows
Bitcoin US-listed spot ETFs daily net flows, USD. Source: SoSoValue

Monday saw US-based Bitcoin ETFs achieve $471 million in net capital inflows, marking the strongest performance in more than five weeks; nevertheless, the previous two-week pattern showed subdued activity, indicating insufficient market confidence. A portion of market participants' apprehension originates from recent Bitcoin liquidations conducted by publicly traded mining operations.

Bitcoin miner and digital asset treasury companies put BTC under pressure

According to Lookonchain data, MARA Holdings (MARA US) executed a transfer of 250 BTC on Tuesday. The company had previously disclosed the sale of 15,133 BTC during March while maintaining total holdings of 38,689 BTC. Market participants are concerned about additional selling pressure as numerous mining companies prioritize debt reduction to finance their strategic pivot toward AI computing data center operations.

Based on Arkham data, Riot Platforms (RIOT US) moved 1,500 BTC for liquidation during April's opening week. According to the company's most recent operational disclosure, it maintained holdings of 15,680 BTC, amplifying concerns about ongoing sell-offs as elevated energy expenses adversely affect mining profitability.

Additional wallet addresses associated with major mining operations liquidated 265 BTC on Tuesday following accumulation since early 2024, per Lookonchain tracking. The wallet address 3PFNdgGi…myCh139 continues to maintain 112 BTC. Irrespective of the motivations driving these transfers, market sentiment deteriorated following Bitcoin's hashrate decline to 953 exahashes on Monday, representing a decrease from 1,083 exahashes recorded in late February.

Bitcoin mining estimated hashrate
Bitcoin mining estimated hashrate (exahashes). Source: Blockchain.com

Strategy (MSTR US) maintained its Bitcoin acquisition strategy, adding 4,871 BTC during the prior week. Nonetheless, market observers express growing concern that available buyers are becoming scarce following a two-month bearish period, particularly as corporations that leveraged debt financing to acquire Bitcoin encounter substantial pressure and must liquidate portions of their reserves.

Publicly-listed companies, ranked by returns on BTC reserves
Publicly-listed companies, ranked by returns on BTC reserves. Source: BitcoinTreasuries

Companies that decreased their Bitcoin positions during the past month include Sequans Communications (SQNS FR) and Nakamoto Inc (NAKA US). More troubling, several other publicly traded entities are experiencing unrealized losses exceeding 35% on their Bitcoin treasuries, including GD Culture Group (GDC US) and OranjeBTC (OBTC3 BR), based on BitcoinTreasuries data.

Bitcoin 30-day options skew
Bitcoin 30-day options skew (put-call) at Deribit. Source: laevitas.ch

On Tuesday, Bitcoin options markets displayed unease as put (sell) options commanded a 17% premium compared to call (buy) contracts. Market participants often assume that institutional players possess superior market insight, yet the options skew actually reflects retail traders consistently purchasing protective downside positions rather than representing calculated actions by market makers.

While there's no evidence suggesting professional market participants are adopting bearish positions, a single day of substantial ETF inflows doesn't constitute proof of sustained institutional appetite. Consequently, even if diplomatic progress regarding the Strait of Hormuz reopening provides support to risk assets, Bitcoin will likely face challenges maintaining price levels above $75,000 given the prevailing risk-averse market environment.

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